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Good afternoon. It's Tuesday, October 13, 2026. Lenders have no shortage of debt capital for multifamily, but a growing equity gap is now the binding constraint, stalling refinancings and holding back deals even as the 10-year Treasury eases off a two-decade high. Also in today's edition: DSCR lending flooding overlooked markets, a $44M Washington portfolio trade, RXR building out its residential platform, and developer Joe Moinian buying land into the freeze.

CAPITAL MARKETS WATCH

Today's focus: Capital Stack Tuesday. What does the full financing picture look like for operators and investors right now?

The debt is there, the equity is not. The 10-year Treasury eased to about 5.21% on Tuesday as markets reopened from the Columbus Day close, still near its highest since 2002, which keeps Fannie Mae multifamily agency debt in a roughly 6.15% to 7.00% range depending on size and leverage, with CMBS spreads wide enough to hold conduit coupons in the 7s. The federal funds rate sits at 3.75% to 4.00% after September's hike, and the next FOMC is October 27 to 28, with the government shutdown still delaying the September jobs report that would normally guide it. The scarce layer of the stack is equity, which keeps pricing to higher return thresholds and sitting out even as lenders compete, as today's lead story underlines. The read for capital: debt is available at a price, so the deals that clear are the ones where equity is underwritten to today's coupons and a real coverage cushion, not to a cut the calendar keeps pushing out.

TODAY'S TOP STORIES

1. Multifamily Faces an Equity Gap Even as Debt Capital Stays Ample. Why the Scarce Layer of the Stack Is Now Equity.

GlobeSt reports that lenders have plenty of capital to refinance multifamily, but a shortage of fresh equity threatens to prolong financing pressure and hold back new construction, per GlobeSt. When owners cannot raise the equity to close a refinancing gap or fund a purchase, available debt alone does not clear the market. For investors, it reframes the opportunity, because the scarce and best-priced layer of the stack right now is equity, and the capital that can fill that gap sets the terms.

Read the full story at GlobeSt

2. DSCR Loans Are Pouring Capital Into Neighborhoods Banks Left Behind. Why a Lending Shift Carries Both Opportunity and Risk.

Propmodo reports that debt service coverage ratio loans, which qualify investors on a property's rental income rather than their personal finances, are flooding capital into long-overlooked markets like East Cleveland, Baltimore, Detroit, and Memphis, though fraud risk is rising alongside the volume, per Propmodo. The product is widening the buyer pool for smaller rental assets in markets banks avoided. For investors, it signals fresh competition for those properties and a reminder to underwrite the income, and the appraisal, carefully where easy leverage is pulling capital in.

Read the full story at Propmodo

3. FPA Multifamily Buys Two Washington Communities for $44 Million. Why Quiet Portfolio Trades Signal Returning Liquidity.

FPA Multifamily has acquired two Washington State communities for $44 million, the first change of ownership for both properties, per Multi-Housing News. A repeat institutional buyer transacting on these assets at today's basis is another sign liquidity is returning selectively to quality product. For investors, first-time trades of long-held assets are worth watching, because they reset the comparable basis a whole submarket gets underwritten against.

Read the full story at Multi-Housing News

4. RXR Promotes a New COO to Run Its Residential Business. Why a Platform Build-Out Signals Where Capital Is Leaning.

RXR has promoted Whitney Arcaro to chief operating officer of its residential business and tapped Gerard Norcia to lead the unit, a leadership build-out around apartments and for-rent housing, per Commercial Observer. When a major owner-operator formalizes a residential platform, it signals conviction that rental housing is where durable demand and capital are concentrating. For investors, moves like this map where the deepest sponsors are committing people and balance sheet, often ahead of the capital that follows.

Read the full story at Commercial Observer

5. Developer Joe Moinian Makes His Case on Hudson Yards, AI, and Buying Land Now. Why a Veteran Is Accumulating in a Frozen Market.

In a wide-ranging interview, New York developer Joe Moinian detailed his Hudson Yards project, his read on AI's impact on real estate, and why he is buying land while others wait, per Commercial Observer. A veteran developer accumulating sites in a high-rate, low-starts market is a classic countercyclical bet on the next building cycle. For investors, it is a reminder that land and development basis acquired during a freeze is often where patient capital sets up the following cycle's returns.

Read the full story at Commercial Observer

THE FWC PERSPECTIVE

How today's news connects to the Fourth Wall Capital multifamily investment thesis

Capital Stack Tuesday finds debt plentiful and equity scarce, with the 10-year near a two-decade high and agency coupons holding above 6 percent. Today's stories point one way, that the deals clearing are the ones where equity is underwritten to today's cost of capital, from an equity gap stalling refinancings to a Washington portfolio trading and a veteran developer buying land into the freeze.

That is where disciplined capital earns its return. Fourth Wall Capital underwrites the asset and the structure, not the rate path, pricing to today's agency execution and a coverage cushion that survives a higher for longer market. As the scarce layer of the stack becomes equity, we stay ready to supply it on conservative basis in supply-protected submarkets, where in-place cash flow carries the return and any rate relief is upside we never needed.

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