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Good afternoon. It's Monday, June 29, 2026. Multifamily transaction volume is still running below last year, with Yardi Matrix counting $26.6 billion in sales through May, down 10.7 percent, as the recovery concentrates in entity-level deals and the strongest metros. Also in today's edition: a Bridgepoint platform acquisition, a 393-unit Dallas start, investment sales surging in top markets, New Rochelle's permitting playbook, and a student housing read.

CAPITAL MARKETS WATCH

Today's focus: Deal Flow Monday. What did transaction activity look like last week, and what is expected this week?

Transaction volume is still running below last year. Yardi Matrix counted $26.6 billion in multifamily sales through the end of May, down 10.7 percent from a year earlier, as sellers hold out on price and buyers demand yield, per GlobeSt. The 10-year Treasury sits near 4.38%, down to a roughly seven-week low, while the Fed holds the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75% with no 2026 cut priced on CME FedWatch and the next FOMC meeting set for July 28 to 29. Fannie Mae multifamily agency rates remain in the 5.50% to 6.35% range depending on size, leverage, and structure. With entity-level and portfolio deals carrying volume while single-asset sales lag, expect this week's activity to keep favoring scaled buyers and clean platforms, so underwrite to today's agency execution rather than a cheaper rate the data has not delivered.

TODAY'S TOP STORIES

1. Bridgepoint Moves to Buy Kayne Anderson Real Estate. Why Entity-Level Deals Keep Leading the Capital Markets Recovery.

London-based private equity firm Bridgepoint agreed to acquire Kayne Anderson Real Estate from Kayne Anderson Capital Advisors in a cash-and-stock deal as it builds out a U.S. commercial real estate platform, per Connect CRE. The transaction extends a clear pattern, capital is re-entering real estate first at the entity and platform level, where scale and discounted valuations create cleaner entry points than one-off trades. For investors, it signals that the recovery still rewards managers with scale and a credible platform, the buyers institutional capital is choosing to back right now.

Read the full story at Connect CRE

2. JPI Buys a Dallas Site for a 393-Unit Project. Why New Starts Are Still Hard to Pencil Even as One Moves Forward.

Developer JPI acquired a development site for a 393-unit mixed-income community in the Dallas area, advancing it through a public-private partnership, per Multi-Housing News. A new groundbreaking in a heavily built Sun Belt metro stands out precisely because elevated costs and financing have crushed starts nationally, so the deals that still move tend to lean on partnership structures or subsidy. For investors, it is a reminder that today's thin construction pipeline is setting up the supply scarcity that should firm rents in these markets two to three years out.

Read the full story at Multi-Housing News

3. Investment Sales Are Surging in Top U.S. Markets. Why the Transaction Recovery Is Concentrating in a Handful of Metros.

Investment sales are picking up sharply in the strongest U.S. markets as sellers adjust pricing and buyers re-engage, even while national volume stays below last year, per CRE Daily. The recovery is uneven, concentrating where liquidity and demand run deepest rather than lifting every metro at once. For investors, it argues for following the capital into markets already clearing transactions, since price discovery and exit liquidity are returning there first while thinner markets still struggle to trade.

Read the full story at CRE Daily

4. New Rochelle Rewrote Its Permitting and Unlocked a Billion Dollars. Why Entitlement Speed Is Becoming a Competitive Edge.

New Rochelle's Downtown Overlay Zone, launched a decade ago with a master developer, has drawn more than a billion dollars in investment by compressing approval times to as little as 60 to 90 days, per Propmodo. The case shows how heavily entitlement risk and timeline weigh on whether projects pencil, and how cities that streamline permitting can pull capital toward them. For investors, it is a prompt to price entitlement speed into market selection, since the time to a shovel increasingly separates viable deals from stranded ones.

Read the full story at Propmodo

5. Student Housing Preleasing Stays Ahead of Last Year as New Supply Bites. Why the Niche Is Cooling From a Strong Base.

Student housing preleasing remained ahead of last year's pace in May, even as new supply and slowing rent growth pressured some markets, per Yardi Matrix data reported by Multi-Housing News. The sector is normalizing from a red-hot run rather than rolling over, with demand still solid where universities keep growing enrollment. For investors weighing alternatives to conventional multifamily, it is a reminder that student housing offers durable demand but is no longer immune to the same supply pressure reshaping the broader rental market.

Read the full story at Multi-Housing News

THE FWC PERSPECTIVE

How today's news connects to the Fourth Wall Capital multifamily investment thesis

This week's deal flow reinforces the thesis we underwrite to. Capital is returning through scale and platforms, the transaction recovery is concentrating in the markets already clearing trades, and a thin construction pipeline keeps setting up the supply scarcity that firms rents two to three years out. The edge belongs to disciplined buyers with a clear basis, not to anyone counting on a falling-rate tide the Fed has not delivered.

We read the rest the same way. Entitlement speed and partnership structure increasingly decide which projects pencil, and even resilient niches like student housing now feel the supply pressure reshaping the broader market. Heading into the second half, Fourth Wall Capital is positioning in supply-constrained submarkets past their delivery peak and underwriting to today's agency execution, so the margin of safety holds whether or not the transaction recovery broadens.

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