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Good afternoon. It's Thursday, July 9, 2026. UDR is selling a 206-unit Nashville community after more than 30 years of ownership, a quiet marker of institutional capital rotating out of the oversupplied Sun Belt even as debt keeps flowing to the markets lenders still favor. Also in today's edition: a Chicago tower financing, a Jersey City joint venture, a $111M Miami construction loan, and a $210M affordable fund.

CAPITAL MARKETS WATCH

Today's focus: Data Thursday. What does this week's most important data release tell us about the multifamily market?

Freddie Mac's latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey put the 30-year fixed at 6.43%, a seven-week low, and this week's housing data stayed consistent with that thaw, as pending home sales ticked up to a six-week high while weekly mortgage applications held roughly flat. The 10-year Treasury tells the more cautious story, backing up to about 4.58% as renewed Middle East tension lifted oil prices and revived inflation worry, unwinding part of the recent rally. The Fed holds the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75% with the next FOMC meeting on July 28 to 29, and Fannie Mae multifamily agency rates run roughly 5.50% to 6.35% depending on size and leverage. June CPI on July 15 is the next real catalyst, so underwrite to today's agency execution and a genuine coverage cushion, not a cut the data has not delivered.

TODAY'S TOP STORIES

1. UDR Sells 206 Units in Nashville After More Than 30 Years. Why Institutional Owners Are Rotating Out of the Sun Belt.

UDR sold a 206-unit Nashville community, ending more than 30 years of ownership, in an exclusive deal that trims its Sun Belt exposure, per Multi-Housing News. A long-term institutional holder exiting a stabilized asset in an oversupplied metro is a quiet marker of capital rotating away from markets still working through heavy deliveries. For investors, it reinforces that sophisticated owners are repositioning by geography, taking gains where a decades-long hold has run its course and redeploying toward markets with firmer near-term pricing power.

Read the full story at Multi-Housing News

2. LG Development Lands $125 Million for a Chicago Luxury Tower. Why Debt Keeps Flowing to the Midwest's Strongest Submarkets.

LG Development secured a $125 million loan from Pacific Life for a luxury high-rise in Chicago's Fulton Market, in a metro leading the country in rent growth, per Multi-Housing News. A construction-scale package from a major life-insurance lender confirms that capital still underwrites new supply where fundamentals are firmest. For investors, it is another sign that lenders are concentrating their appetite in supply-constrained, high-demand submarkets, precisely the markets drawing capital and talent as the oversupplied Sun Belt corrects.

Read the full story at Multi-Housing News

3. Rockpoint and Urby Form a JV for a Jersey City Waterfront Tower. Why Partnerships Are How Big Deals Get Done Now.

Rockpoint and Urby formed a joint venture to build a 69-story luxury tower on the Jersey City waterfront, part of a larger three-tower development across the Hudson from Manhattan, per Multi-Housing News and Commercial Observer. Pairing an institutional capital partner with an operator is increasingly how ambitious projects pencil when single-source equity is scarce. For investors, the JV structure is a live readout on the equity layer, where sharing risk and capital is winning out over going it alone on marquee gateway assets.

Read the full story at Multi-Housing News and Commercial Observer

4. S3 Capital Lends $111 Million for a Miami Multifamily Tower. Why Construction Debt Still Backs the Right Sun Belt Project.

S3 Capital provided $111 million in construction financing for a luxury multifamily tower in Miami being developed by Argentine firm HA Emprendimientos, per Commercial Observer. Even in a Sun Belt market wrestling with supply, private lenders will still fund new development where the sponsor and location are strong. For investors, it underscores that debt availability is a story about asset and sponsor quality, not geography alone, and that well-underwritten construction lending continues in the very markets where distressed deals are repricing nearby.

Read the full story at Commercial Observer

5. WNC Closes a $210 Million Tax Credit Fund. Why Affordable Capital Formation Keeps Rolling.

WNC wrapped up a $210 million low-income housing tax credit fund that will support the creation and preservation of more than 2,000 affordable units, per Multi-Housing News. Steady institutional appetite for tax credit equity shows that need-based, income-restricted housing remains a durable destination for capital even in a cautious market. For investors, it is a reminder that the affordable and workforce segments keep attracting long-term money, a stabilizing counterweight to the volatility playing out in market-rate, floating-rate deals.

Read the full story at Multi-Housing News

THE FWC PERSPECTIVE

How today's news connects to the Fourth Wall Capital multifamily investment thesis

Today's edition shows capital sorting by quality and geography rather than pulling back. UDR trims a long-held Nashville asset while lenders and equity write large checks for a Chicago high-rise, a Jersey City tower, and a Miami build, evidence that money is selective, not scarce, and it still pays up for well-located product and durable, need-based housing. The rotation out of oversupplied metros and into gateway and supply-constrained submarkets is the trade this cycle keeps rewarding.

The rate backdrop argues for the same discipline. With the 10-year backing up on fresh inflation worry and a July cut still unlikely, we underwrite to today's agency execution and a real coverage cushion rather than relief the calendar keeps deferring. Heading through the second half, Fourth Wall Capital stays focused on supply-constrained submarkets with genuine pricing power, keeping dry powder ready for the selective, well-located deals where capital is still competing.

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