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Good afternoon. It's Monday, August 24, 2026. Fannie Mae's abrupt purge of at least 10 senior executives, including the leaders of its multifamily finance business, has apartment investors weighing a new agency-execution risk just as borrowing costs stay elevated. Also in today's edition: StarPoint's higher hurdle, Hines restarts building, an Avison Young recovery bet, and a $236 million industrial loan.

CAPITAL MARKETS WATCH

Today's focus: Deal Flow Monday. What did transaction activity look like last week, and what is expected this week?

Transaction volume kept rebuilding last week even without a rate cut. Large commercial sales of $25 million or more ran about 30 percent above a year earlier, and multifamily drove a 28.5 percent jump in Los Angeles County dollar volume, evidence that buyers and sellers are converging on repriced values. The 10-year Treasury eased to about 4.72%, down slightly on the session and little changed on the week, while the Fed holds the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75%. Fannie Mae multifamily agency debt prices roughly 5.60% to 6.45% depending on size and leverage, and the next FOMC meeting is September 15 to 16. This week brings the catalysts that shape near-term deal pricing: new home sales and Case-Shiller on Tuesday, the second estimate of second-quarter GDP on Thursday, and the July PCE inflation report on Friday. The read for capital: with liquidity returning to larger deals but no cut priced, underwrite to today's agency execution and a coverage cushion that holds whether the next move is a hold or a hike.

TODAY'S TOP STORIES

1. StarPoint's Higher Hurdle for Multifamily. Why Discipline Is Setting the Bar for Buyers.

StarPoint Properties is looking through roughly 1,000 opportunities for every deal it closes, a discipline CEO Paul Daneshrad says is aimed at stronger risk-adjusted returns rather than volume, per GlobeSt. The higher hurdle shows how selective well-capitalized buyers have become as repriced values reward patience over speed. For investors, it signals that today's edge comes from underwriting rigor, not deal count, and that operators clearing a tougher internal bar are the ones most likely to protect basis while financing stays expensive.

Read the full story at GlobeSt

2. Hines Restarts Its Development Engine. Why a Scarcity Advantage Is Pulling Capital Back to Building.

Hines, the $92 billion global developer, is pivoting from buying back to building, betting that a collapse in new construction has created a scarcity advantage worth developing into, per Bisnow. Managing partner Alfonso Munk argues development will generate attractive returns as the delivery pipeline thins across multiple sectors. For investors, a major institutional player restarting its development engine confirms that the supply trough is becoming a strategy rather than just a talking point, and that patient capital is positioning to own the next cycle's scarce new product.

Read the full story at Bisnow

3. Avison Young Swaps Debt for Equity to Fund a Recovery Bet. Why a Cleaner Balance Sheet Signals CRE's Turn.

Avison Young agreed to convert most of its debt to equity, a recapitalization that cuts roughly 70 percent of its debt and preferred equity and hands lenders about half the firm, per Propmodo. CEO Mark Rose says the freed cash will fund acquisitions and that commercial real estate has been in full recovery since late 2025. For investors, a major services firm cleaning its balance sheet to go on offense is another vote that the market is clearing on fundamentals rather than waiting on the Fed.

Read the full story at Propmodo

4. Fannie Mae's Leadership Purge Rattles Apartment Investors. Why Agency Instability Is a New Underwriting Risk.

Fannie Mae dismissed at least 10 senior executives, including the chief operating officer and chief financial officer of its multifamily business, in the latest leadership purge under FHFA Director Bill Pulte, per GlobeSt. The exits at a critical apartment lender have investors questioning operational stability just as borrowing costs stay elevated. For investors, agency instability introduces a new underwriting risk, since any disruption to Fannie's multifamily execution could widen spreads or slow closings, making agency-dependent deals worth stress-testing for a less predictable lending counterparty.

Read the full story at GlobeSt

5. SparrowHawk and Almanac Land a $236 Million Acquisition Loan. Why Debt Is Still Flowing for Well-Located Industrial.

SparrowHawk Real Estate Capital and Almanac Realty Investors secured a $236 million loan to acquire an industrial portfolio tied to EQT, per CommercialCafe. A financing of that size clearing at today's spreads shows lenders will still fund well-located, income-producing assets when the collateral performs. For investors, it is a live comp that debt remains available for scaled, stabilized deals despite a cautious market, and a reminder that lender selectivity, not a closed capital stack, is what defines execution this cycle.

Read the full story at CommercialCafe

THE FWC PERSPECTIVE

How today's news connects to the Fourth Wall Capital multifamily investment thesis

Deal Flow Monday opens with transaction volume rebuilding on repriced values rather than a rate cut, from a 30 percent jump in large commercial sales to disciplined buyers like StarPoint clearing a far higher internal bar. The through-line across today's news is selectivity: capital is moving, but only for well-located assets, cleaner balance sheets, and operators who prize underwriting rigor over volume. That is a market clearing on fundamentals, exactly the environment where mispriced basis appears for buyers with patience and dry powder.

Fourth Wall Capital reads the moment as reason to underwrite the asset, not the rate path, pricing to today's agency execution and a coverage cushion that holds whether the September move is a hold or a hike. With Fannie Mae's leadership in flux and agency execution less predictable, we treat financing certainty as part of the underwrite rather than an afterthought, and stay positioned to source basis where discipline, not leverage, sets the price. This week's GDP revision and PCE print will shape the September meeting, but the edge stays with durable in-place cash flow.

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