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Good afternoon. It's Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Second-quarter apartment investment rotated back toward major metros, handing New York, Los Angeles, and San Francisco their largest share of sales volume in nine years even as total dollars held flat. Also in today's edition: a $277 million Jersey City construction loan, a Zillow and Redfin FTC settlement, new Canadian tariffs on building materials, and second-quarter for-rent starts.

CAPITAL MARKETS WATCH

Today's focus: Capital Stack Tuesday. What does the full financing picture look like for operators and investors right now?

The full stack sits at today's higher cost, with the bond market steadier now that Jackson Hole is behind us. The 10-year Treasury has eased to about 4.68%, down modestly on the week, while the Fed holds the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75%. On the debt layer, Fannie Mae multifamily agency loans price roughly 5.60% to 6.45% depending on size and leverage, while CMBS keeps repricing risk as multifamily delinquencies hold near a nine-year high around 6.86%. Underwriting is tightening in step: second-quarter debt yields climbed to 9.6% while loan-to-value slipped to 63.4%, evidence lenders want a thicker income cushion before they fund, and equity is pricing a fuller going-in yield even as construction debt still clears for well-located deals. With the next FOMC meeting not until September 15 to 16 and no cut priced, the read for capital is that every layer, agency debt, CMBS, and equity alike, is set to today's cost, so underwrite to current agency execution and a coverage cushion that holds without relief.

TODAY'S TOP STORIES

1. Multifamily Capital Rotates Back to Major Metros. Why Gateway Cities Just Claimed Their Biggest Share in Nine Years.

Second-quarter apartment sales held nearly flat at $36.7 billion, but major markets captured their largest share of investment volume in nine years, led by New York, Los Angeles, and San Francisco, per GlobeSt citing MSCI. Individual asset sales fell 7 percent and garden volume dropped 21 percent, while mid and high-rise product in gateway metros held up on the strength of large entity deals. For investors, the rotation signals capital is paying up for liquidity and scale in supply-constrained coastal cities, resetting where the next cycle's competition, and its pricing, will concentrate.

Read the full story at GlobeSt

2. Truist Funds a $277 Million Jersey City Tower. Why Construction Debt Still Clears for the Right Deal.

Truist provided $277 million of construction financing, arranged by Newmark, for a joint venture between Urby and Rockpoint to build 201 Hudson, a 748-unit apartment tower that is the second phase of a Jersey City waterfront project, per Connect CRE and Commercial Observer. A ground-up loan of that size clearing at today's spreads shows lenders will still underwrite new multifamily supply when the sponsor, location, and basis line up. For investors, it is a live comp that construction debt remains open for well-located, institutionally sponsored deals, a reminder that lender selectivity, not a closed market, defines this cycle's capital stack.

Read the full story at Connect CRE and Commercial Observer

3. Zillow and Redfin Settle With the FTC. Why Rental Advertising Competition Is Coming Back to Multifamily.

Zillow and Redfin reached a last-minute settlement with the Federal Trade Commission and five state attorneys general, preserving Zillow's listing-syndication arrangement while forcing both companies to resume competing for multifamily advertising customers, with Redfin re-entering the standalone rental market, per Multifamily Dive and Propmodo. The deal ends an antitrust fight that had threatened to lock apartment marketing behind a single platform. For investors and operators, renewed competition among listing portals should temper the pricing power any one channel holds over lead generation, a modest but real tailwind for marketing budgets as leasing stays competitive into the fall.

Read the full story at Multifamily Dive and Propmodo

4. New Canadian Tariffs Push Building Costs Higher. Why a Supply-Starved Pipeline Gets Even Tighter.

President Trump's new 50 percent tariffs on Canadian goods will raise the cost of cement, plywood, and other core construction materials, adding fresh pressure to already strained development budgets, per Bisnow. Higher input costs make new projects harder to pencil at today's rents and financing, reinforcing a supply pullback that is already thinning the delivery pipeline. For investors, rising construction costs are another force pushing new starts lower, which tightens future supply and hands pricing power to owners of existing, well-located product as the 2027 delivery trough approaches.

Read the full story at Bisnow

5. For-Rent Apartment Starts Ticked Up in the Second Quarter. Why the Near-Term Read Still Points to a Thinning Pipeline.

Multifamily for-rent housing starts rose year over year in the second quarter to 117,000 units, according to NAHB's analysis of Census data, a firmer print than developer sentiment had signaled. The gain reflects projects financed before rates and costs climbed, not a fresh wave of groundbreakings, since NAHB's production and occupancy confidence indices remain below their prior readings. For investors, the data is a reminder that starts lag decisions by quarters, and that today's rising costs and cautious developer outlook still point to fewer deliveries into 2027, the supply trough that underpins pricing power for existing owners.

Read the full story at NAHB Eye on Housing

THE FWC PERSPECTIVE

How today's news connects to the Fourth Wall Capital multifamily investment thesis

Capital Stack Tuesday finds every layer priced to today's cost and holding there. The 10-year sits near 4.68 percent, agency debt runs close to 6 percent, and CMBS keeps repricing risk as multifamily delinquencies hover near a nine-year high, yet capital keeps moving, from a $36.7 billion quarter that rotated back to gateway metros to a $277 million construction loan on a Jersey City tower. This is a market where financing is available but selective, rewarding buyers who can price the whole stack, debt and equity, to current cost rather than a compression the forward curve keeps pushing out.

Fourth Wall Capital reads the moment as reason to underwrite the asset, not the rate path, pricing to today's agency execution and a coverage cushion that holds without a cut. As tariffs lift construction costs and cautious developers signal fewer future starts, the supply trough approaching in 2027 stays the anchor of our thesis, and the edge holds with disciplined buyers who can source basis in supply-constrained submarkets and let durable in-place cash flow carry the return while the September meeting decides the Fed's next step.

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