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Good afternoon. It's Monday, September 21, 2026. Decron's 114 million dollar Los Angeles buy, its first acquisition in nearly two years, headlines a week where transaction activity is quietly rebuilding even with the 10-year Treasury near 5 percent. Also in today's edition: a Blackstone fund secondary sale, CRE investment rising despite the rate hike, a 390 million dollar land finance raise, a New York Opportunity Zones deadline, and today's Deal Flow watch.

CAPITAL MARKETS WATCH

Today's focus: Deal Flow Monday. What did transaction activity look like last week, and what is expected this week?

Transaction activity is quietly rebuilding even with financing costly. Decron paid 114 million dollars for a Los Angeles asset, its first acquisition in nearly two years, TruAmerica bought a 200-unit Bay Area community in a submarket that has seen only a handful of trades in two decades, and cross-border commercial investment rose 56 percent to 71.8 billion dollars in the first half. The 10-year Treasury is holding near 5.00%, close to a multi-year high, keeping Fannie Mae multifamily agency debt in a roughly 5.85% to 6.75% range depending on size and leverage. The Fed raised the federal funds rate 25 basis points to 3.75% to 4.00% at its September 15 to 16 meeting and signaled another move is possible, with the next FOMC on October 27 to 28. The read for capital: liquidity is returning to well-located deals, but underwrite to today's agency execution and a coverage cushion that holds if rates grind higher, not to a cut the data no longer supports.

TODAY'S TOP STORIES

1. Decron Buys a Los Angeles Asset for 114 Million Dollars. Why a First Purchase in Two Years Signals Gateway Multifamily Is Trading Again.

Multi-Housing News reports that Decron paid 114 million dollars for a Los Angeles property, its first acquisition in almost two years, a sign that well-capitalized private buyers are cautiously re-entering supply-constrained coastal markets, per Multi-Housing News. A patient institutional buyer stepping back in after a long pause is a live read on where basis and conviction are finally aligning. For investors, it signals that gateway multifamily is clearing again on repriced basis, and that competition for well-located coastal assets is set to rebuild before any rate relief arrives.

Read the full story at Multi-Housing News

2. Blackstone Arranges a Secondary Sale to Let Investors Exit an 11 Billion Dollar Fund. Why Redemption Pressure Is Reshaping Open-End Real Estate.

Propmodo reports that Blackstone is arranging a secondary sale to give investors in an 11 billion dollar open-end property fund a path to exit, part of a broader wave of redemption pressure pushing managers to find liquidity without dumping assets, per Propmodo. Facilitated secondaries let funds meet withdrawal demand without forcing dispositions into a soft market. For investors, it signals both stress and opportunity, since discounted secondary stakes and eventual forced sellers can open entry points for capital positioned to move.

Read the full story at Propmodo

3. Commercial Real Estate Investment Is Rising Even as Inflation and Rates Climb. Why Capital Is Moving Before the Cost of Money Falls.

Commercial Observer reports that commercial real estate investment is climbing even after the Fed's latest rate hike and a 10-year Treasury near 5 percent, as buyers conclude that waiting for cheaper debt is costing them entry, per Commercial Observer. Rising volume against a higher-rate backdrop says investors are underwriting to fundamentals and repriced basis rather than a coming pivot. For investors, it confirms that the capital re-entering the market is trading on today's math, and that basis set now, before the field crowds, is where the advantage sits.

Read the full story at Commercial Observer

4. AREC Raises 390 Million Dollars to Finance Land and Lots for Homebuilders. Why Capital Is Flowing to the Front of the Housing Pipeline.

HousingWire reports that AREC raised 390 million dollars to finance lot and land deals for builders, lifting its fund above 750 million dollars in institutional capital aimed at roughly 100,000 residential lots, per HousingWire. Capital concentrating at the land and lot-banking stage shows institutions positioning for the next supply cycle while builders offload balance-sheet risk. For investors, it is a signal of where large allocators see durable demand, and a reminder that today's lot financing shapes the housing and rental supply that will compete for tenants years from now.

Read the full story at HousingWire

5. New York State's Opportunity Zones Deadline Is Fast Approaching. Why the Tax Clock Matters for Deploying Gains.

Commercial Observer reports that a New York State Opportunity Zone deadline is approaching, even as the state pledges 25 billion dollars toward 100,000 affordable homes, keeping tax-advantaged investing in the spotlight, per Commercial Observer. Opportunity Zones let investors defer and reduce capital gains taxes by rolling gains into qualifying projects within set windows. For investors, an approaching deadline is a live prompt to weigh whether a qualifying multifamily or development play fits the timeline, since the tax benefit hinges on deploying gains before the clock runs out.

Read the full story at Commercial Observer

THE FWC PERSPECTIVE

How today's news connects to the Fourth Wall Capital multifamily investment thesis

Deal Flow Monday opens with capital moving on fundamentals, not a Fed pivot. Private buyers are re-entering gateway markets, cross-border money is scaling back up, and investment volume is rising even after a rate hike and a 5 percent Treasury, all signs that the capital coming back is underwriting to today's basis rather than a cut the data no longer supports.

Fourth Wall Capital underwrites the asset, not the rate path, pricing to today's agency execution and a coverage cushion that holds if rates grind higher. As redemption pressure pushes open-end funds toward secondary sales and eventual sellers, we stay focused on conservative basis in supply-protected submarkets, positioned to move on dislocation while disciplined capital still sets the terms.

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